Become a Texas Precinct Captain for Barack Obama!
When the Obama campaign swept into Texas earlier this week, hundreds of its organizers spread all across the Lone Star State and announced an audacious goal - to have at least one precinct captain in...
View ArticleHillary's Alamo? Updated TX Delegate Projections
(cross posted at Election Inspection)About a week ago, I projected that Hillary Clinton would beat Barack Obama statewide by about 5%. But because of Texas' Byzantine delegate selection rules, I...
View ArticleEI Electoral College Projection
I am starting an electoral college projection, based on State polls. There are 10 designations that States can be given, as you can see by the key. The designations are determined by State polls, with...
View ArticleRedistricting California 2010: Let Only 4 Republicans Be Safe
I decided to try my hand at redistricting California's Congressional districts for 2010-2012, using Dave's Redistricting App. After playing around with it a bit, here's what the map I came up with...
View ArticleRedistricting California 2010: Leave Only 6 GOPers Safe
Taking into account some suggestions and comments, I made some changes to my previous attempt at redistricting California. I conceded an additional 2 seats to the GOP, which concomitantly makes a...
View ArticleThe HCR Primary Index - Naming Names
The votes on Health Care reform last night brought a lot of less than perfect Democrats to our attention. Lists of who voted for the Stupak Amendment, who voted for the Republican Motion to Recommit,...
View ArticleThe Future of Texas Politics: The Past
This is the first in a series of posts examining the future of Texas Politics that I hope to write. I intend to examine ongoing demographic and political shifts in detail, and look to the future of...
View Article"We Need More John Wayne and Jesus In Washington"
I wonder whether some of the Republicans who are loudly supportive of Tea Party Doug Hoffmanism are starting to think twice. Primary challenges against House Republicans are popping up right and far...
View ArticleA Democratic Michigan Redistricting
First of all, this map is not going to happen. Republicans control redistricting in Michigan and are going to use that control to pass a Republican gerrymander. This attempt at a Democratic map is just...
View ArticleA different 8-0 Maryland
A common assumption in Maryland redistricting maps is that MD-01 is to be based in the Eastern Shore. This map rejects that assumption and takes a different tack. None of MD-01 at all is in the Eastern...
View ArticleChicago Wards Redistricting Contest Entry
This is my entry for the DKE redistricting contest - redistricting Chicago's 50 wards.It's unlikely that any one map can fulfill everyone's goals, so I'll try to set forth what my goals were and how...
View ArticleRedistricting Texas 2020
With no final districts yet drawn in Texas for the 2012 election, with Texas's 2012 primary date still unknown, and with ongoing legal wrangling in multiple different courts about multiple different...
View ArticleKansas Redistricting: A sensible map
Kansas is pretty much the last state where Congressional redistricting has not completed. When you think about it, this is really pretty strange, since Kansas is in reality one of the easiest states in...
View ArticleEarly Voting in NC: Day 1 (Obama pulls ahead)
As many of you probably know, Early voting in North Carolina has started. Voting by mail has been going on for a few weeks now, but early voting in person just started on Thursday, October 18. North...
View ArticleNC Early Voting Day 2: Turnout up 26.6% over 2008
On Friday October 19, 152,356 North Carolinians voted early. This is down from 156,129 from Thursday, but up from the 118,961 who voted on the second day of One Stop Early Voting in 2008. These numbers...
View ArticleNC Early Voting Day 3: Epic Turnout - 42,709 "Unlikely" Voters Have Already...
Since yesterday's update, we found some missing voters, thanks to commenter dean4ever. Not all counties always manage to update their early vote numbers in time for the statewide update, so some votes...
View ArticleNC Early Voting Day 4: African American Turnout Doubles White GOP Turnout Sunday
Sunday, October 21 was another big day for African American voter turnout in North Carolina. 10,188 African Americans voted Sunday in NC, many of them after church as part of the "souls to the polls"...
View ArticleNC Early Voting Day 5: Young Voters Are Psyched - Age 18-24 Turnout Up 39.7%
There is a powerful myth deeply engrained in the minds of the pundits that swarm America's cable television screens.That myth is that young voters are somehow not as enthusiastic about voting in 2012...
View ArticleNC Early Voting Day 6: 135K Minority/Dem '08 Non-Early-Voters Have Voted… Vs...
Early voting on Tuesday in NC was similar to early voting on Monday. 162,308 (plus unreported votes) people voted Tuesday, and Obama continues to expand on his (estimated!) 93,595 vote lead over Romney...
View ArticleNC Early Voting Day 7: 1 Million Voters And Counting
Nearly 1 million (997,524) people have already voted in North Carolina. By comparison, at the same time in 2008, 797,256 people had voted early. Overall, turnout is up by 200,268, a 25.1% increase over...
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